Zero Point Wrote:
India Maharashtra Pune H1N1 Deaths: Commentary
Since March 3rd - until today, March 24 - there have been 8 deaths in Pune.
Gathering news sources, this commentary is to put together some facts of the facts surrounding the deaths. On fact that is standing out right now for me is the space of only 3-4 days from onset to death.
The first article, talks of four deaths in Pune. That was on March 17th
...claiming four lives in Pune in the past fortnight, including two Friday, putting the state health machinery in a state of high alert, a top official said.
Besides, the four fatalities, another 34 victims are admitted in different city hospitals.
"The condition of at least five people is critical and they have been put on ventilator. We can only hope that there are no fresh cases or casualties,"
The next day, March 18th, this article of the Administration mapping the area:
The administration has undertaken mapping of all areas where H1N1 patients were detected so far.
"We have enough stock of Tamiflu tablets. The screening of suspected patients is being undertaken at 47 PMC-run hospitals and 13 private hospitals in the city. All suspected patients are being administered Tamiflu doses. The civic body has set up a process to send the swabs of suspected patients to National Institute of Virology (NIV)," Bankar said.
The task of mapping suspected areas has been taken up and further steps will be planned on these observations. Schools have been issued instructions to keep a watch on students, said Bankar.
At present, five patients are critically ill in Pune district.
Seven people had tested positive on Friday.
In the last few months, seven people have died in the state which includes four deaths in Pune.
March 19th, they announced they would only be testing high risk patients for H1N1:
From Monday, only high risk patients with flu-like symptoms and those suffering from severe symptoms like breathlessness and high-grade fever (defined as category A) will be tested for swine flu infection in the city.
...Since the beginning of this month, the swine flu virus has infected a total of 34 people and claimed four lives.
March 20th: 10-15% rise in H1N1 cases in March; Mexico, US affected too
PUNE: Scientists at the National Institute of Virology (NIV) have seen 10 to 15% rise in swine flu cases in March. Incidentally, Mexico which reported the first case of swine flu infection in the world is also seeing an increase during this period since a pandemic shut down much of the country three years ago.
"There is a 'sudden and sharp' rise in the transmissibility of the swine flu virus this month. Usually, the virus transmission is not more than 1 or 2% during March. It is something unusual," A C Mishra, director, NIV told TOI on Monday.
Asked whether any significant mutation has taken place in the genetic make-up of the virus, he said, "Mutation in influenza virus is a continuous process. These are small changes in the virus that happen continually over time. There has been no harmful mutation detected so far. The virus is completely susceptible to Tamiflu. Its virulence level is also the same. Most who died of swine flu in the last six days had some other underlying medical condition."
There are 17,000 points in the genetic make of swine flu virus which are being mapped to find out mutation in the virus, Mishra said.
March 20th: 60-yr-old man dies; 5th death in six days
A 60-year old man from Maharshinagar died of swine flu at a city hospital on Monday,
"Paigude had other underlying illnesses like diabetes, hypertension and cardiaomyopathy," he added.
Shrirang Balasaheb Paigude had been in the isolation ICU of Poona Hospital and Research Centre (PHR) for the last three days.
"Around March 15, Paigude showed typical symptoms like mild fever, cough with expewctoration and developed mild breathlessness from March 17, following which he was admitted to PHRC at around 11.55 am. His became critical and he was put on ventilator support. Later his condition deteriorated following which he died," said Shyam Satpute, acting assistant medical officer of health.