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Is a mini ice age on the way?
Mothman
Devil's Reject
User ID: 209933
01-19-2014 01:57 PM

Posts: 2,526



Post: #1
work Is a mini ice age on the way?
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Is a mini ice age on the way? Scientists warn the Sun has ’gone to sleep’ and say it could cause temperatures to plunge

The Sun’s activity is at its lowest for 100 years, scientists have warned.

They say the conditions are eerily similar to those before the Maunder Minimum, a time in 1645 when a mini ice age hit, Freezing London’s River Thames.

Researcher believe the solar lull could cause major changes, and say there is a 20% chance it could lead to ’major changes’ in temperatures.

’Whatever measure you use, solar peaks are coming down,’ Richard Harrison of the Rutherford Appleton Laboratory in Oxfordshire told the BBC.

’I’ve been a solar physicist for 30 years, and I’ve never seen anything like this.’

He says the phenomenon could lead to colder winters similar to those during the Maunder Minimum.

’There were cold winters, almost a mini ice age.

’You had a period when the River Thames froze.’

Lucie Green of UCL believes that things could be different this time due to human activity.

’We have 400 years of observations, and it is in a very similar to phase as it was in the runup to the Maunder Minimum.

’The world we live in today is very different, human activity may counteract this - it is difficult to say what the consequences are.’

Mike Lockwood University of Reading says that the lower temperatures could affect the global jetstream, causing weather systems to collapse.

’We estimate within 40 years there a 10-20% probability we will be back in Maunder Minimum territory,’ he said.

Last year Nasa warned ’something unexpected’ is happening on the Sun’
This year was supposed to be the year of ’solar maximum,’ the peak of the 11-year sunspot cycle.

But as this image reveals, solar activity is relatively low.

’Sunspot numbers are well below their values from 2011, and strong solar flares have been infrequent,’ the space agency says.

The image above shows the Earth-facing surface of the Sun on February 28, 2013, as observed by the Helioseismic and Magnetic Imager (HMI) on NASA’s Solar Dynamics Observatory.

It observed just a few small sunspots on an otherwise clean face, which is usually riddled with many spots during peak solar activity.

Experts have been baffled by the apparent lack of activity - with many wondering if NASA simply got it wrong.

However, Solar physicist Dean Pesnell of NASA’s Goddard Space Flight Center believes he has a different explanation.

’This is solar maximum,’ he says.

’But it looks different from what we expected because it is double-peaked.’
’The last two solar maxima, around 1989 and 2001, had not one but two peaks.’

Solar activity went up, dipped, then rose again, performing a mini-cycle that lasted about two years, he said.


The same thing could be happening now, as sunspot counts jumped in 2011 and dipped in 2012, he believes.

Pesnell expects them to rebound in 2013: ’I am comfortable in saying that another peak will happen in 2013 and possibly last into 2014.’

He spotted a similarity between Solar Cycle 24 and Solar Cycle 14, which had a double-peak during the first decade of the 20th century.

If the two cycles are twins, ’it would mean one peak in late 2013 and another in 2015’.

The Maunder Minimum

The Maunder Minimum (also known as the prolonged sunspot minimum) is the name used for the period starting in about 1645 and continuing to about 1715 when sunspots became exceedingly rare, as noted by solar observers of the time.


Continue. http://www.dailymail.co.uk/sciencetech/a...lunge.html

[Image: 532f0efe7e3f1.gif]
MoThMaN
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grasptheuniverse
Registered User
User ID: 212591
01-19-2014 02:03 PM

Posts: 460



Post: #2
Is a mini ice age on the way?
We are having one of the hottest summers in decades here in Oz and our winters are still mild. Though last summer here it actually snowed and hailstones. Not sure about an iceage though but strange weather.
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Fuzzy Bear
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User ID: 212528
01-19-2014 02:38 PM

Posts: 7,063



Post: #3
Is a mini ice age on the way?
grasptheuniverse  Wrote: (01-19-2014 02:03 PM)
We are having one of the hottest summers in decades here in Oz and our winters are still mild. Though last summer here it actually snowed and hailstones. Not sure about an iceage though but strange weather.

I was just going to say. IMO the North pole is pushed further away from the sun by a force and the south pole is more exposed to the sun. Lightning strike fires in Victoria and parts of other places are all the rage with temps broken.. IMO

Resistance is futile
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GeekOfTheWeek
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User ID: 121459
01-19-2014 03:19 PM

Posts: 3,119



Post: #4
Is a mini ice age on the way?
Before every ice age, mini or not, the Earth heated up a lot. So it could happen.
I think it's funny how when it's cold people say "yeah right global warming my A$$", then when summer comes back around, "it's hotter than hell"...

Short minded people. Just check the cycles the Earth has gone through, and you'll have your answer.

I love physics, it's whats in my morning cup of coffee, it's what keeps the universe from flying apart due to a lack of belief, and it works really well for figuring gas mileage. :-)
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LoP Guest
lop guest
User ID: 200853
01-19-2014 03:52 PM

 



Post: #5
Is a mini ice age on the way?
Quote:’We estimate within 40 years there a 10-20% probability we will be back in Maunder Minimum territory,’ he said.

pfff
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LoP Guest
lop guest
User ID: 190523
01-19-2014 03:55 PM

 



Post: #6
Is a mini ice age on the way?
LoP Guest  Wrote: (01-19-2014 03:52 PM)
Quote:’We estimate within 40 years there a 10-20% probability we will be back in Maunder Minimum territory,’ he said.

pfff

They can't get the 7 day forecast right, what chance do they have in looking forward 40 years?
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LoP Guest
lop guest
User ID: 158523
01-19-2014 04:09 PM

 



Post: #7
cow Is a mini ice age on the way?
Could have fooled me.

http://www.swpc.noaa.gov/wsa-enlil/
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Primus Cura
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User ID: 211279
01-19-2014 04:24 PM

Posts: 964



Post: #8
stars Is a mini ice age on the way?
(This post was last modified: 01-19-2014 04:26 PM by Primus Cura.) Quote this message in a reply
Sir Alpha_goy
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01-19-2014 04:30 PM

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Post: #9
Is a mini ice age on the way?
Yes, winter is coming.

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BTC: 188xA2vP31Z2H9xGJwcLBqrWuBpfXj4Y25
LTC: LZsJNpe88BX796TqeodMdUaQYhg9ZzUgTP

http://www.youtube.com/channel/UCW4slpHcCNKBX45h44mzGvg
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Primus Cura
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01-19-2014 04:34 PM

Posts: 964



Post: #10
Is a mini ice age on the way?
Russians take the Epiphany plunge as temperatures drop to -45C in Far East
Published time: January 19, 2014 13:46



Almost 94,000 people across Russia bathed in the ice-cold rivers and ponds over the night of January 18-19, braving the freezing winter temperatures to celebrate the Orthodox Christian holiday of Epiphany, the baptism of Jesus.

Bathers in Yakutia, in Russia’s Far East, had to perform the traditional triple plunge in exceptionally chilly temperatures of – 45 C (-49 F). The waters of the Lena River they submerged into were only a couple of degrees above freezing.
http://rt.com/news/russians-bathe-freezing-cold-852/
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Disturbed nli
Not the real one!
User ID: 1
01-19-2014 06:41 PM

 



Post: #11
Is a mini ice age on the way?
Njihtnht Kdbbllli Lkfkgbme
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