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Corona Virus COVID-19 Pandemic
LoP Guest
lop guest
User ID: 563664
10-17-2020 10:40 PM

 




Post: #19636
RE: Corona Virus COVID-19 Pandemic
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Whatsamatta_U  Wrote: (10-17-2020 10:14 PM)
LoP Guest  Wrote: (10-17-2020 10:11 PM)
Qrgibhqd


so cool that yer obsessed
Crybaby
means we're gettin' to ya


yeah3

Still waiting for you to back up your numbers of 250k dead, but you can not, so you ignore that and shill for your death cult like a true Biden supporter.

Here are the facts:

TOTAL U.S. DEATHS [ALL CAUSES]:

2017 Total Deaths US: 2,813,503 (234,000/month)
https://www.cdc.gov/nchs/products/databriefs/db328.htm

2018 Total Deaths US: 2,839,205 (237,000/month)
https://www.cdc.gov/nchs/products/databriefs/db355.htm

2019 Total Deaths US: 2,855,000 (238,000/month)
https://www.cdc.gov/nchs/nvss/vsrr/provi...tables.htm

2020 Total Deaths US (jan - week 9/26): 2,130,000 (236,000/month)
https://data.cdc.gov/NCHS/Weekly-Counts-.../muzy-jte6

2,130,000 + (236,000/month x 3) [Oct, Nov, Dec] = 2,838,000 [assumption based on monthly avg]
2020: 2,838,000 [3-month assumption insert]
2019: 2,855,000
2018: 2,839,000
2017: 2,814,000

So you claim there are 250k extra deaths, but we can not find them in the data of all cause mortality.

Example is 8,000 die a day, now we see 7,000 a day, not 9 or 10 thousand a day.

What can be inferred from that data that is different from reality?

Popcorn
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Whatsamatta_U
Registered User
User ID: 452055
10-17-2020 10:47 PM

Posts: 3,665




Post: #19637
RE: Corona Virus COVID-19 Pandemic

10 US states reported their highest
number of new coronavirus cases Friday


— Colorado, Idaho, Indiana, Minnesota, New Mexico,
N Carolina, N Dakota, West Virginia, Wisconsin, Wyoming —



Mostly Red States in 2016 chuckle

[Image: hfqaobY4cJu6Op8H29JYkOXg-UY5Vx9jg7vxg9PF...dkNUv9uMRh]

But Not No More yeah3


[Image: ABC-red-and-blue-states-jt-161103_4x3t_992.jpg]


https://www.cnn.com/world/live-news/coro...04ffbc5c0d
(This post was last modified: 10-17-2020 10:48 PM by Whatsamatta_U.) Quote this message in a reply
LoP Guest
lop guest
User ID: 563664
10-17-2020 10:54 PM

 




Post: #19638
RE: Corona Virus COVID-19 Pandemic
Whatsamatta_U  Wrote: (10-17-2020 10:47 PM)

10 US states reported their highest
number of new coronavirus cases Friday


— Colorado, Idaho, Indiana, Minnesota, New Mexico,
N Carolina, N Dakota, West Virginia, Wisconsin, Wyoming —



Mostly Red States in 2016 chuckle

link to image: https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/proxy/...dkNUv9uMRh

But Not No More yeah3


link to image: https://s.abcnews.com/images/Politics/AB...3t_992.jpg


https://www.cnn.com/world/live-news/coro...04ffbc5c0d

Almost 200 million tests and even with the best laboratory error rate that has not even provided enough cases, what a joke.

The highly contagious deadly disease that you need a test to notify you that you are sick even when you feel fine.

Lmonkey
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LoP Guest
lop guest
User ID: 563664
10-17-2020 10:58 PM

 




Post: #19639
RE: Corona Virus COVID-19 Pandemic
LoP Guest  Wrote: (10-17-2020 10:54 PM)
Whatsamatta_U  Wrote: (10-17-2020 10:47 PM)

10 US states reported their highest
number of new coronavirus cases Friday


— Colorado, Idaho, Indiana, Minnesota, New Mexico,
N Carolina, N Dakota, West Virginia, Wisconsin, Wyoming —



Mostly Red States in 2016 chuckle

link to image: https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/proxy/...dkNUv9uMRh

But Not No More yeah3


link to image: https://s.abcnews.com/images/Politics/AB...3t_992.jpg


https://www.cnn.com/world/live-news/coro...04ffbc5c0d

Almost 200 million tests and even with the best laboratory error rate that has not even provided enough cases, what a joke.

The highly contagious deadly disease that you need a test to notify you that you are sick even when you feel fine.

Lmonkey
Even the almost completely discredited, ever changing, "science driven" (for the moment) CDC stats show that DEATHS are now at lower levels from Pneumonia, Influenza OR the China Covid (a combined stat the CDC calls PIC) than in 2018 when there was ZERO China Covid.

https://www.cdc.gov/flu/weekly/index.htm#ILIActivityMap (scroll to the bottom of the page for the chart).

BONUS: Read Thomas Kuhn's Structure of Scientific Revolutions (U Chicago) to understand how "science" is always changing, making yesterday's science today's material for an SNL skit.
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Whatsamatta_U
Registered User
User ID: 452055
10-17-2020 11:02 PM

Posts: 3,665




Post: #19640
RE: Corona Virus COVID-19 Pandemic
LoP Guest  Wrote: (10-17-2020 10:54 PM)
Almost 200 million tests and even with the best laboratory error rate that has not even provided enough cases, what a joke.


do the one million dead know?

Ihoohase


And remind us again
Which of the following do you deny?



yeah3

Partial list of the inconvenient realities that magical-thinking woo woos deny:

Holocaust, NASA, Climate Change, Archeology, Vaccines, AMA, Mathematics,
Virology, National Science Foundation, Biology, CoVid, Galileo, Birth Certificates,
Evolution, Chemistry, Round Earth, CDC, Meteorology, Round Earth, Sandy Hook,
Southern Poverty Law Center, Astronomy, Physics, Fauci, WHO, Carbon Dating,
Dinosaurs, Einstein, ACLU, Masks, Heliocentrism, MIT, USGS, Da Vinci, NOAA,
Harvard, Botany, Yale, Epidemeology, Stanford, National Weather Service, etc.
(This post was last modified: 10-17-2020 11:24 PM by Whatsamatta_U.) Quote this message in a reply
LoP Guest
lop guest
User ID: 563059
10-17-2020 11:19 PM

 




Post: #19641
RE: Corona Virus COVID-19 Pandemic
Keep taking yourselves out, fuckwits.


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LoP Guest
lop guest
User ID: 563973
10-18-2020 02:39 AM

 




Post: #19642
RE: Corona Virus COVID-19 Pandemic
The comedy of vanity insane delusion is pandemic.
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LoP Guest
lop guest
User ID: 497057
10-18-2020 02:51 AM

 




Post: #19643
RE: Corona Virus COVID-19 Pandemic
LoP Guest  Wrote: (10-17-2020 11:19 PM)
Keep taking yourselves out, fuckwits.



Maybe anabolic steroids had something to do with it?
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LoP Guest
lop guest
User ID: 563664
10-18-2020 05:09 AM

 




Post: #19644
RE: Corona Virus COVID-19 Pandemic
Lets ask the 2 million dead from TB last year, and the 200 million tests were in the usa alone of which you claim 250k died, even when the CDC acknowledge 12k "from", the rest, were "with" as if that was the underlying cause.

Since you suffer from TDS, 200 million tests with a 1 percent laboratory false positive rate, which is extremely precise for a test of any type would easily give you one million false positives, and RT-PCR is not a virus test, but error rate is 1.5 minimum.
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LoP Guest
lop guest
User ID: 563664
10-18-2020 05:18 AM

 




Post: #19645
RE: Corona Virus COVID-19 Pandemic
LoP Guest  Wrote: (10-18-2020 05:09 AM)
Lets ask the 2 million dead from TB last year, and the 200 million tests were in the usa alone of which you claim 250k died, even when the CDC acknowledge 12k "from", the rest, were "with" as if that was the underlying cause.

Since you suffer from TDS, 200 million tests with a 1 percent laboratory false positive rate, which is extremely precise for a test of any type would easily give you one million false positives, and RT-PCR is not a virus test, but error rate is 1.5 minimum.

But get back to the deaths and classifying them:

So what changed in 2019 from 2018??
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LoP Guest
lop guest
User ID: 563664
10-18-2020 05:21 AM

 




Post: #19646
RE: Corona Virus COVID-19 Pandemic
LoP Guest  Wrote: (10-18-2020 05:18 AM)
LoP Guest  Wrote: (10-18-2020 05:09 AM)
Lets ask the 2 million dead from TB last year, and the 200 million tests were in the usa alone of which you claim 250k died, even when the CDC acknowledge 12k "from", the rest, were "with" as if that was the underlying cause.

Since you suffer from TDS, 200 million tests with a 1 percent laboratory false positive rate, which is extremely precise for a test of any type would easily give you one million false positives, and RT-PCR is not a virus test, but error rate is 1.5 minimum.

But get back to the deaths and classifying them:

So what changed in 2019 from 2018??
Death Certification
In this report, tabulations of cause-of-death statistics are based solely on the underlying cause of death. The underlying cause is defined by WHO as “the disease or injury which initiated the train of morbid events leading directly to death, or the circumstances of the accident or violence which produced the fatal injury” (5).
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LoP Guest
lop guest
User ID: 563664
10-18-2020 05:26 AM

 




Post: #19647
RE: Corona Virus COVID-19 Pandemic
LoP Guest  Wrote: (10-18-2020 05:21 AM)
LoP Guest  Wrote: (10-18-2020 05:18 AM)
But get back to the deaths and classifying them:

So what changed in 2019 from 2018??
Death Certification
In this report, tabulations of cause-of-death statistics are based solely on the underlying cause of death. The underlying cause is defined by WHO as “the disease or injury which initiated the train of morbid events leading directly to death, or the circumstances of the accident or violence which produced the fatal injury” (5).
If you want to censor the text just do it, limiting me to 200 characters is childish,

Lmonkey
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LoP Guest
lop guest
User ID: 563664
10-18-2020 06:26 AM

 




Post: #19648
RE: Corona Virus COVID-19 Pandemic
LoP Guest  Wrote: (10-18-2020 05:26 AM)
LoP Guest  Wrote: (10-18-2020 05:21 AM)
Death Certification
In this report, tabulations of cause-of-death statistics are based solely on the underlying cause of death. The underlying cause is defined by WHO as “the disease or injury which initiated the train of morbid events leading directly to death, or the circumstances of the accident or violence which produced the fatal injury” (5).
If you want to censor the text just do it, limiting me to 200 characters is childish,

Lmonkey
Just ban me if i can not post more than a few words.
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spɹɐʍoɔ snoɯʎuouɐ
☇☇Vocem sine nomine audivit!☇☇
User ID: 543670
10-18-2020 06:35 AM

Posts: 54,576




Post: #19649
RE: Corona Virus COVID-19 Pandemic
[Image: giphy.gif]

In the field of psychology, the Dunning–Kruger effect is a cognitive bias wherein people of low ability suffer from illusory superiority, mistakenly assessing their cognitive ability as greater than it is. The cognitive bias of illusory superiority derives from the metacognitive inability of low-ability persons to recognize their own ineptitude; without the self-awareness of metacognition, low-ability people cannot objectively evaluate their actual competence or incompetence.

As described by social psychologists David Dunning and Justin Kruger, the cognitive bias of illusory superiority results from an internal illusion in people of low ability and from an external misperception in people of high ability; that is, "the miscalibration of the incompetent stems from an error about the self, whereas the miscalibration of the highly competent stems from an error about others."

Quote:The psychological phenomenon of illusory superiority was identified as a form of cognitive bias in Kruger and Dunning's 1999 study "Unskilled and Unaware of It: How Difficulties in Recognizing One's Own Incompetence Lead to Inflated Self-Assessments".[1] The identification derived from the cognitive bias evident in the criminal case of McArthur Wheeler, who robbed banks with his face covered with lemon juice, which he believed would make it invisible to the surveillance cameras. This belief was based on his misunderstanding the chemical properties of lemon juice as an invisible ink.

Other investigations of the phenomenon, such as "Why People Fail to Recognize Their Own Incompetence" (2003), indicate that much incorrect self-assessment of competence derives from the person's ignorance of a given activity's standards of performance. The pattern of overestimation of competence appeared in studies of reading comprehension, of the practice of medicine, of motor-vehicle operation, and of the playing of games such as chess and tennis. Dunning and Kruger's research also indicates that training in a task, such as solving a logic puzzle, increases people's ability to accurately evaluate how good they are at it.

In Self-insight: Roadblocks and Detours on the Path to Knowing Thyself (2005), Dunning described the Dunning–Kruger effect as "the anosognosia of everyday life", referring to the condition in which a disabled person either denies or seems unaware of his or her disability. He stated: "If you're incompetent, you can't know you're incompetent ... The skills you need to produce a right answer are exactly the skills you need to recognize what a right answer is."
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Dunning%E2...ger_effect

Whatsamatta_U  Wrote: (10-17-2020 11:02 PM)
LoP Guest  Wrote: (10-17-2020 10:54 PM)
Almost 200 million tests and even with the best laboratory error rate that has not even provided enough cases, what a joke.


do the one million dead know?

Ihoohase


And remind us again
Which of the following do you deny?




yeah3

Partial list of the inconvenient realities that magical-thinking woo woos deny:

Holocaust, NASA, Climate Change, Archeology, Vaccines, AMA, Mathematics,
Virology, National Science Foundation, Biology, CoVid, Galileo, Birth Certificates,
Evolution, Chemistry, Round Earth, CDC, Meteorology, Round Earth, Sandy Hook,
Southern Poverty Law Center, Astronomy, Physics, Fauci, WHO, Carbon Dating,
Dinosaurs, Einstein, ACLU, Masks, Heliocentrism, MIT, USGS, Da Vinci, NOAA,
Harvard, Botany, Yale, Epidemeology, Stanford, National Weather Service, etc.

Back when we wrote the Unified Theory of the Crank one of the main things we discussed related to crankery is their inability to recognize competence in others. As a result, cranks tend not to mind the crankery of others, since they see themselves as opposed to a scientific orthodoxy. Consistency be damned, they just want to see science with egg on its face so they can prove that they are being persecuted.

Well lately, Uncommon Descent has been doing a pretty incredible job of sticking to this script. First we have Dembski, insisting upon the persecution of ID abroad, because the Germans jailed a holocaust denier who happened to be a creationist. Dembski, not being the sharpest tool in the drawer, didn't think to look to closely at the story and, well, played the persecution card a little too soon.

Now Uncommon Descent, aiming for a trifecta of denialism, is using HIV/AIDS denialist Peter Duesberg to attack the orthodoxy. It really is true, cranks are so incompetent at reason and logic they simply can't see that they're making a terrible case. In this instance, they're using Duesberg's Chromosomal Chaos hypothesis to suggest that science is so addicted to Darwinism we've been getting not just cancer research, but bacterial resistance wrong for decades.

The obvious problem is that Duesberg, in what appears to be characteristically black-and-white mode of thought, has decided that since chromosomal disorder may explain some cancers (and he got in on the ground floor) that all cancer is from chromosomal disorder, despite many examples of genetic causes from retinoblastoma to the existence of known cancer susceptibility loci like BRCA.

But what matters to a crank reading this? It's proof! Proof at last that Darwinism hurts science! Scientists have been missing the point on cancer (assuming immediately that co-crank Duesberg is correct) because they're so obsessed with evolution! All it took was mention of a "gene-mutation theory" being wrong and it's a new proof for ID (god must have designed in chromosomal chaos - what a nice fella). And in a bizarre leap of logic PaV suggests that Duesberg's chromosomal chaos hypothesis shows that "darwinism" led us down the wrong path in cancer.

Quote:Think of the number of people who die each year of cancer as compared to the number who die from bacterial infection, and one can easily see that all the chest-slapping by the Darwinists about how RM+NS has given us anti-bacterial drugs can know pound their breasts in remorse at the "wrong path" mutational theory has led cancer researchers. This isn't just a battle between the God-denying and the God-affirming segments of our global society, it's about good science versus bad science, about reason versus myth.

more:
https://scienceblogs.com/denialism/2007/...agnetism-1

Crank magnetism is the condition where people become attracted to multiple crank ideas at the same time. Crank magnetism also denotes the tendency — even for otherwise "lone issue" cranks — to accumulate more crank beliefs over time. You know that old saying about not being so open-minded that your brain falls out? People with crank magnetism didn't pay attention to that. Crank magnetism is an important stepping stone on the path towards being wrong all of the time. Its opposite is the stopped clock (which is when otherwise overly credulous people actually find some crankery that they won't believe in, and may even actively denounce it).


The physiologist and blogger Mark Hoofnagle, writing in the Denialism blog in 2007, coined the term "crank magnetism" to describe the propensity of cranks to hold multiple irrational, unsupported or ludicrous beliefs that are often unrelated to one another, referring to William Dembski endorsing both a Holocaust denier and one of Peter Duesberg's non-HIV weird theories. He has also coined the phrase "magnetic hoax" in relation to hoax claims that attract multiple crank interpretations.

examples:
https://rationalwiki.org/wiki/Crank_magnetism

©®êå†ꂅ
[Image: NtJBweH.gif]
“I am a ‘conspiracy theorist’.
I believe men and women of wealth and power conspire.
If you don’t think so, then you are what is called ‘an idiot’.
If you believe stuff but fear the label, you are what is called ‘a coward’.”
(This post was last modified: 10-18-2020 06:38 AM by spɹɐʍoɔ snoɯʎuouɐ.) Quote this message in a reply
spɹɐʍoɔ snoɯʎuouɐ
☇☇Vocem sine nomine audivit!☇☇
User ID: 543670
10-18-2020 06:43 AM

Posts: 54,576




Post: #19650
RE: Corona Virus COVID-19 Pandemic
[Image: EUxTDiYUUAIdjz5?format=jpg&name=medium]

[Image: mCcDH66.jpg]

[Image: EXnQPFwXYAEAJaL?format=png&name=small]

Code:
The concepts development of PSI and PSR are interpreted and employed in different ways in various literature. When it is applied in the use-and-gratifications approaches, the two concepts are typically treated interchangeably, with the regard primarily to a special type of "interpersonal involvement" with media figures that includes different phenomena such as interaction and identification. In contrast to the U&G approaches, research domains such as media psychology and semiotics argue for a clear distinction between the two terms. PSI specifically means the "one-sided process of media person perception during media exposure"; whereas PSR stands for "a cross-situational relationship that a viewer or user holds to a media person, which includes specific cognitive and effective components". Schmid & Klimmt (2011) further argue that PSI and PSR are progressive states such that what begins as a PSI has the potential to become a PSR.In sum, the terms, definitions, and models explicating PSI and PSR differ across scientific backgrounds and traditions.
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Parasocial...ationships

[Image: ?u=https%3A%2F%2Fi.pinimg.com%2F736x%2Ff...amp;nofb=1]





Quote:the study found that people who watched FOX News exclusively were not only less informed (able to answer less questions correctly) about both domestic and international events than people who watched other sources of news but Fox News viewers actually KNEW LESS about domestic/international events THAN PEOPLE WHO DIDN'T WATCH ANY NEWS. 6/

This implicitly highlights the difference between being uninformed, and being disinformed…..both of which make up two of the three categories that most of Trump’s remaining supporters fit into:
At this point it's hard not to come to the conclusion that those who still support Trump are either uninformed (not paying attention), misinformed (Foxnews), or intellectually dishonest.....

It’s also important to keep in mind that while a source of news is may correlate to being less knowledgeable, it does prove causation, because there are many other factors that play into this including education, age, gender, and ideology.
However, these demographical characteristics are also what is used not just by Fox’s advertisers to target potential product consumers,...but these demographical characteristics are used in a consumer-driven, “demand-and-supply” disinformation campaign because… similar to the glut of mind-numbing celebrity gossip and fictionalized “news” publications (National Enquirer, etc.) that flood the checkout line at the grocery store,....when demand and consumption is high, supply will usually follow.

Murdoch's news outlets feeds the parasocial addiction.. and now fascistbook is filling in all the gaps with targeted psychometrics/profiling.
Quote:Emotional dysregulation and substance use
Several variables have been explored to explain the connection between emotion dysregulation and substance use in young adults, such as child maltreatment, cortisol levels, family environment, and symptoms of depression and anxiety. Vilhena-Churchill and Goldstein (2014)explored the association between childhood maltreatment and emotional dysregulation. More severe childhood maltreatment was found to be associated with an increase in difficulty regulating emotion, which in turn was associated with greater likelihood of coping by using marijuana. Kliewer et al. (2016)performed a study on the relationship between negative family emotional climate, emotional dysregulation, blunted anticipatory cortisol, and substance use in adolescents. Increased negative family emotional climate was found to be associated with high levels of emotional dysregulation, which was then associated with increased substance use. Girls were seen to have blunted anticipatory cortisol levels, which was also associated with an increase in substance use. Childhood events and family climate with emotion dysregulation are both factors seen linked to substance use. Prosek, Giordano, Woehler, Price, and McCullough (2018)[explored the relationship between mental health and emotion regulation in collegiate illicit substance users. Illicit drug users reported higher levels of depression and anxiety symptoms. Emotional dysregulation was more prominent in illicit drug users in the sense that they had less clarity and were less aware of their emotions when the emotions were occurring.

In such cases as borderline personality disorder and complex post-traumatic stress disorder,hypersensitivity to emotional stimuli causes a slower return to a normal emotional state. This is manifested biologically by deficits in the frontal cortices of the brain.

Possible manifestations of emotional dysregulation include angry outbursts or behavior outbursts such as destroying or throwing objects, aggression towards self or others, and threats to kill oneself. Emotional dysregulation can lead to behavioral problems and can interfere with a person's social interactions and relationships at home, in school, or at place of employment.

Externalizing behaviors:

exhibiting more extreme emotions
difficulty identifying emotional cues
difficulty recognizing their own emotions
focusing on the negative
difficulty controlling their attention
being impulsive
difficulty decreasing their negative emotions
difficulty calming down when upset

Conduct disorder
CD symptoms include "often bullies, threatens, or intimidates others," "often initiates physical fights," "has used a weapon that can cause serious physical harm to others," "has been physically cruel to people," "has been physically cruel to animals," "has stolen while confronting a victim," "has forced someone into sexual activity," "has deliberately engaged in fire setting with the intention of causing serious damage," "has deliberately destroyed others' property (other than by fire setting)," "has broken into someone else's house, building, or car," "often lies to obtain goods or favors or to avoid obligations," "has stolen items of nontrivial value without confronting a victim," "often stays out at night despite parental prohibitions, beginning before age 13 years," "has run away from home overnight at least twice while living in the parental or parental surrogate home, or once without returning for a lengthy period," and "is often truant from school, beginning before age 13 years." In order to receive a CD diagnosis, individuals must have three of these symptoms for at least one year, at least two symptoms for at least six months, be impaired in at least one setting, and not have an antisocial personality disorder diagnosis if 18 years or older.
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Externaliz...t_disorder

©®êå†ꂅ
[Image: NtJBweH.gif]
“I am a ‘conspiracy theorist’.
I believe men and women of wealth and power conspire.
If you don’t think so, then you are what is called ‘an idiot’.
If you believe stuff but fear the label, you are what is called ‘a coward’.”
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